Naoki Nakagawa vs Hikaru Shiraishi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent form shows Nakagawa winning 47.55% of points on their second serve, outperforming Shiraishi, who has managed 41.72%.
• Interestingly, Shiraishi is better at winning points on their opponent’s second serve, achieving 44.65% success compared to Nakagawa’s 42.18%.
• Shiraishi also leads in first serve return points with 28.63%, ahead of Nakagawa’s 22.57%.
• Under pressure, Nakagawa excels by saving 54.6% of breakpoints, whereas Shiraishi saves 49.78%.
• Over the last year, Shiraishi has a higher overall win percentage of 61.64% in matches compared to Nakagawa’s 48.94%.
• On hard courts, Shiraishi shines with a 67% win rate, although Nakagawa has a slightly lower rate at 60%.
• Nakagawa is more experienced at a higher match level, with most matches in Challengers, while Shiraishi has been playing more Futures/Satellites.
• In past direct encounters, Nakagawa leads by winning both matches and four of the six sets played against Shiraishi.
• What about in a deciding set scenario? Nakagawa has won both deciding sets in their direct Head-to-Head matches.
• Shiraishi’s breakpoint conversion rate of 33.94% edges out Nakagawa's 29.07%, suggesting a slight advantage in crucial moments.
• Over the past year, Nakagawa has faced higher-ranked opponents, averaging a ranking of 412.98, compared to Shiraishi's 468.07.
• While past matches were closely contested, with the last match stretching to nearly three hours, Nakagawa emerged victorious.
• If this match goes the distance, Shiraishi holds a 65% success rate in deciding sets in recent matches, compared to Nakagawa’s 55%.

Editorial Prediction (September 10, 2025, UTC):

Both players exhibit certain strengths, with Shiraishi highlighting his edge on return games and overall match wins over the past year. However, Nakagawa's superior performance under pressure and past wins in direct Head-to-Head matches should not be ignored.

Shiraishi excels in breakpoint opportunities and hard court performance, suggesting he may seize critical moments better. Despite this, the experience and success of Nakagawa at higher-level events coupled with his previous victories in deciding sets between the two position him as a stronger contender.

Considering all statistics and previous performances, Nakagawa appears to have the upper hand in this upcoming match, making him the likely winner. However, the outcome could be closely contested, with Shiraishi's improved second serve returns and handling of decisive set scenarios presenting potential surprises.